Bayesian Demography Limited
Using multiple data sources to estimate and forecast child obesity
Bryant, J, Rittirong, J, Aekplakorn, W, Mo-suwan, L, and Nitnara, P. 2022. A Bayesian approach to combining multiple information sources: Estimating and forecasting childhood obesity in Thailand. PLOS ONE. 21 January 2022.
Estimating obesity rates for very small groups
Rittirong, J, Bryant, J, Aekplakorn, W, Prohmmo, A, and Sunpuwan, W. 2021. Obesity and occupation in Thailand: using a Bayesian hierarchical model to obtain prevalence estimates from the National Health Examination Survey. BMC Public Health 21(914).
Forecasting migration with very small counts
Zhang, J, and Bryant, J. 2020. Bayesian disaggregated forecasts: Internal migration in Iceland. S Mazzuco and N Keilman. Developments in Demographic Forecasting. Springer.
Bayesian benchmarking of small area estimates
Zhang, J, and Bryant, J. 2020. Fully Bayesian benchmarking of small area estimation models. Journal of Official Statistics. 36(1): 197-223.
Combining multiple imperfect data sources for small area estimation
Zhang, J, and Bryant, J. 2019. Combining multiple imperfect data sources for small area estimation: a Bayesian model of provincial fertility rates in Cambodia. Statistical Theory and Related Fields. 3(2): 178-185.
Brief introduction to Bayesian demography
Bijak, J, and Bryant, J. 2019. Bayesian demography. Statistics Reference Online, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Bayesian small area demography
Zhang, J, Bryant, J, and Nissen, K. 2019. Bayesian small area demography. Survey Methodology. 45(1).
Bayesian forecasting of demographic rates for small areas
Bryant, J and Zhang, J 2016. Bayesian forecasting of demographic rates for small areas: Emigration rates by age, sex, and region in New Zealand, 2014-2038. Statistica Sinica. 26:1337–1364.
Bayesian demography 250 years after Bayes
Bijak, J and Bryant, J. 2016. Bayesian demography 250 years after Bayes. Population Studies. 70(1): 1–19.
Probabilistic forecasts for informed decision making
Bijak, J, Alberts, I, Alho, J, Bryant, J, Buettner, T, Falkingham, J, Forster, J, Gerland, P, King, T, Onorante, L, Keilman, N, O’Hagan, A, Owens, D, Raftery, A, Ševčíková, H, Smith, P. 2016. Letter to the Editor: Probabilistic population forecasts for informed decision making. Journal of Official Statistics. 31(4): 537–544.
A Bayesian approach to population estimation
Bryant, J and Graham, P. 2015. A Bayesian approach to population estimation with administrative data. Journal of Official Statistics. 31(3).
Bayesian demographic accounts
Bryant, J and Graham, P. 2013. Bayesian demographic accounts: Subnational population estimation using multiple data sources. Bayesian Analysis. 8(3): 591-622.